MANIFOLD
Tesla (props)
9
Ṁ1.2kṀ506
2027
66%
Optimus robots deployed in Tesla factories (>10 units) by Dec 31, 2026
50%
Marques Brownlee shaves his head on camera by December 31, 2026
48%
Cybercab production exceeds 500/month by Sep 30, 2026
44%
Cortex 2 AI cluster operational by August 1, 2026
28%
Unsupervised FSD releases to non-employees in US by June 30, 2026
12%
Tesla merges with SpaceX by December 31, 2026

Tracks Tesla's AI advancements in FSD, Cybercab/robotaxi, Optimus, and compute infrastructure. Recent: unsupervised robotaxi fleet reaches 390 vehicles; Cybercab production slated for April amid Cortex 2 datacenter progress.


Commands

/add-option <idea> — suggest a new prop. AI reviews and adds if unique and interesting.

/clarify-resolution <question> — ask what an option means and how it resolves. AI updates the text if ambiguous

/check-resolutions <evidence> — request resolution check. Bad faith = 1 week block.

AI-managed market.

Market context
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/add-option will marques shave his head... phrased as an option relevant to it tho

🤖

@patrik Your option was accepted and added as: Marques Brownlee shaves his head on camera by December 31, 2026

This prop captures the viral bet MKBHD made in 2024—if Tesla delivers a Cybercab under $30k before 2027, he'll shave his head on camera. Recent Cybercab production news has reignited interest, making it timely and engaging for Tesla followers. It's unique from existing options, resolvable via public video evidence, and relevant as a fun wager on Tesla's robotaxi progress.

/add-option will marques shave his head... phrased as an option relevant to it tho

reposted

High quality

/add-option Will Tesla merge with SpaceX

🤖

@SpaceDroplet Your option was accepted and added as: Tesla merges with SpaceX by December 31, 2026

Unique from existing options. Timely due to recent rumors and discussions involving Elon Musk, ARK Invest, and analysts speculating on a 2026 merger. Relevant to Tesla investors and clearly resolvable based on official announcements.

/add-option Will Tesla merge with SpaceX

/add-option Will Tesla merge with SpaceX

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