Will any of the 2026 USA(J)MO cutoffs be greater than 400?

Ṁ100Ṁ8.3k

Mar 22

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Resolves based on the cutoffs for USAMO and USAJMO (March 21-22, 2026) announced by MAA, determined using scores from AMC 10/12 A (November 5, 2025), AMC 10/12 B (November 13, 2025), AIME I (February 5, 2026), and AIME II (February 11, 2026)

Resolves YES if any of the 8 cutoffs are greater than 400 and resolves NO if none of them are

If MAA announces a cutoff then later rescinds it and announces a new cutoff, this market will be re-resolved based on the new cutoff if the resolution needs to be changed

USAMO Index = AMC 12 Score + 20 x AIME Score

USAJMO Index = AMC 10 Score + 20 x AIME Score

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@traders How should I resolve this if no cutoffs are announced by March 21?

@jonathan resolve N/A

@jonathan idk keep it until then？

If cutoffs aren't announced, I'll keep this market open until March 21. I'm leaning towards resolving N/A because I don't know how else I would resolve this, but if any of you have other ideas, I would like to hear them.

@jonathan most likely resolve No, there are people that jmoed with 150a+10i, 126.5b+11i (go around looking for 2 cutoffs but VERY unlikely that they are above 400)

@RyanandPickles But that's just JMO, AMO cutoffs are higher than JMO.

Even though I don't think it's likely that any cutoffs were higher than 400, I don't think I can really resolve this NO unless someone can prove that nobody with a 400+ index didn't qualify.

I also said in the description when I created the market, "announced by MAA". So I still think right now that N/A is best if nothing is announced by March 21.

@jonathan you literally wrote Jon in that title

@jonathannever mind sorry you’re right probably na

bought Ṁ5 YES

manufacturing a silver lining just in case

I feel like if there were a lot of cheaters in the AMC if they will do bad in the AIME which is harder to cheat on, then the overall USAMO cuttof will be lower.