MANIFOLD
How deep in the pipeline will each Hack Clubber be in June 2026?
24
แน€450แน€4.4k
Jun 1
98.7%
97%
@/Lucas11
95%
@/izie
87%
87%
@Xelphyr (@/cafeEntity in Slack)
75%
Felix Gao
70%
@/Rowan
35%
@/Tim
19%
Resolved
N/A
According to all known laws of aviation, there is no way a bee should be able to fly. Its wings are too small to get its fat little body off the ground. The bee, of course, flies anyway because bees don't care what humans think is

There's a circulating meme in the Hack Club community that if you are a Hack Clubber, you will go down this "pipeline" and become trans.

On 2026/6/1, EST time, the market shall resolve to the following, for each AMAB hack clubber:

  • 0% if they fully identify as cis

  • 25% if they identify as non-binary and primarily masc-leaning

  • 50% if they identify as non-binary and not masc-leaning or fem-leaning, or if 4 other conditions don't apply

  • 75% if they identify as non-binary and primarily fem-leaning

  • 100% if they fully identify as trans

Any invalid options resolve to N/A. Note that options about people who are eligible for Hack Club but haven't joined yet stay unresolved until market close

I will use my best judgment to resolve these options. I may ask people to decide what to resolve their own options to if there is ambiguity.

Market context
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bought แน€2 NO

@jellywastaken Can you resolve "Everyone in hack club fr" to N/A please

boughtแน€200 YES

@sadeshmukh you don't have the insider info smh

@root oh noes

@root am I allowed to vibecode in this so-called "hack club"?

@realDonaldTrump join and you'll find out

@root what do i get by joining?

@realDonaldTrump you get to connect with a community of hackers (high school tech enthusiasts) and participate in cool events for rewards! check https://hackclub.com for more info

bought แน€100 NO

These bots are giving me free mana

@root I'm not a hack clubber!

@realDonaldTrump oh i saw your previous comment

bought แน€2 YES

@root can you resolve the invalid options N/A?

@jollyroger182 which ones?

@root donald trump and 121 are not hack clobbers

@jollyroger182 they are still eligible for hack club

@root oh oops i'm an idiot thanks

le moi

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