Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2026 than 2025? | Manifold

Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2026 than 2025?

16

Ṁ100Ṁ2.6k

2027

95%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html

Based on final 2025 and 2026 data.

See also: /EvanDaniel/will-the-cdc-report-twice-as-many-m

Market context

Infectious Disease

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bought Ṁ250 YES

If anyone gets the chance, would be interesting to have a 2026 twice as many as 2025, 3x, 4x etc.

@ScottSupak Happy to oblige! If there's interest in the 2x market I'll add another, or do a muli-outcome one, or something.

/EvanDaniel/will-the-cdc-report-twice-as-many-m

@EvanDaniel It's going to be bad. 10k is at 29c at Kalshi.

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