
This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027 at 00:00 Cuban local time., the United States conducts a confirmed kinetic strike on Cuban territory or military assets (air, land, naval), including but not limited to:
Manned aircraft bombing runs
Armed drone strikes
Cruise missile strikes (including those launched from naval vessels or submarines)
This market does NOT include:
Cyber operations
Sanctions or economic measures
Covert sabotage without widely reported confirmation
Resolution will be based on confirmation by the US government or at least two major international news organizations.
During a White House event with Inter Miami, President Trump made notable remarks about Cuba, saying that once the current focus on Iran is resolved, developments regarding Cuba would be “just a question of time.” He also praised Marco Rubio and suggested Cuba could become a future policy focus. No specific actions or policies were announced, but the comments have drawn attention given ongoing speculation about potential US moves toward the Cuban government.
@traders